RT info:eu-repo/semantics/article T1 Estimation of future levels and changes in profitability: The effect of the relative position of the firm in its industry and the operating-financing disaggregation T2 Estimación de niveles y cambios de rentabilidad futura: el efecto de la posición relativa de la empresa en su sector y la desagregación de la rentabilidad en operativa y financiera A1 Amor Tapia, Borja A1 Tascón Fernández, María Teresa A2 Economia Financiera y Contabilidad K1 Contabilidad K1 Economía K1 Finanzas K1 Return on equity K1 Operating-financing disaggregation K1 Industry spread K1 Firm size K1 Ratio analysis AB [EN] In this paper we examine how the relative position of a firm’s Return on Equity (ROE) in industries affectsthe predictability of the next-year ROE levels, and the ROE changes from year to year. Using Nissimand Penman breakdown into operating and financing drivers, the significant role of the industry factoris established, although changes in signs suggest subtle non-linear relations in the drivers. Our studyavoids problems originating from negative signs by analyzing sorts and by making new regressions withdisaggregated second-order drivers by signs. This way, our results provide evidence of some differentpatterns in the influence of the first-level drivers of ROE (the operating factor and the financing factor), andthe second-level drivers (profit margin, asset turnover, leverage and return spread) on future profitability,depending on the industry spread. The results on the role of contextual factors to improve the estimationof future profitability remain consistent for small and large firms, although adding some nuances. PB Elsevier España SN 1138-4891 LK https://hdl.handle.net/10612/19602 UL https://hdl.handle.net/10612/19602 NO Amor-Tapia, B., y Tascón Fernández, M. T. (2014). Estimation of future levels and changes in profitability: The effect of the relative position of the firm in its industry and the operating-financing disaggregation. Revista de Contabilidad, 17(1), 30–46. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.RCSAR.2013.08.002. DS BULERIA. Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad de León RD Jul 11, 2024